Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 86.345268 96.453940 106.775582 118.072135 130.057570 142.365971 155.932554
2025-03-09 71.254650 85.852036 101.395886 119.056062 138.445209 158.974532 182.245692
2025-03-16 60.625407 77.506418 96.067260 117.738034 142.106931 168.446376 198.855606
2025-03-23 54.227646 72.974087 94.152763 119.436724 148.412891 180.234229 217.483281
2025-03-30 49.293290 69.521088 92.936992 121.439278 154.633868 191.572903 235.302853
2025-04-06 43.688746 64.723473 89.691806 120.678619 157.338502 198.653523 248.086637
2025-04-13 37.946701 59.254941 85.222324 118.091574 157.591461 202.660891 257.140261
2025-04-20 35.989427 58.389768 86.205938 121.902488 165.260193 215.143956 275.853193
2025-04-27 33.609038 56.761923 86.076924 124.223746 171.052541 225.371671 291.916849
2025-05-04 30.201444 53.493949 83.661815 123.545086 173.091262 231.083227 302.642764
2025-05-11 26.994200 50.248922 81.075516 122.479443 174.518122 235.961369 312.305522
2025-05-18 24.798262 48.259773 80.001845 123.218026 178.071635 243.311302 324.836439
2025-05-25 22.395333 45.821898 78.240775 123.030904 180.480660 249.332594 335.884980
2025-06-01 20.517776 44.024446 77.246219 123.762926 183.989645 256.660414 348.491956
2025-06-08 18.162228 41.287813 74.800933 122.459934 184.831288 260.668610 357.064712
2025-06-15 16.942735 40.254114 74.677581 124.191268 189.493590 269.330333 371.232321
2025-06-22 15.915032 39.448689 74.822655 126.242487 194.541062 278.456594 385.966597
2025-06-29 14.195021 37.325533 72.947691 125.463658 195.873867 282.947658 395.048241
2025-07-06 12.160352 34.444807 69.802775 122.815267 194.676995 284.219115 400.146016
2025-07-13 11.878112 34.706277 71.371530 126.716412 202.066748 296.234047 418.415841
2025-07-20 11.259126 34.285651 71.866755 129.092081 207.438740 305.721309 433.597794
2025-07-27 10.009710 32.539112 70.233198 128.397556 208.699852 310.004219 442.356538
2025-08-03 8.790099 30.709251 68.373932 127.306930 209.377490 313.510440 450.129162